This article is part of our DraftKings Sportsbook series.
I couldn't have really asked for a better day Saturday as Clint Capela annihilated his double-double prop bet and all four of the best bets hit. If not for Keldon Johnson dropping the ball we would have had a perfect day altogether, so we'll hope for another solid day this go around. 10 games on Wednesday's slate opens up a bunch of different prop-bet possibilities and I think there are enough 'locks' that you could make a realistic parlay or two, particularly if you factor in some gimme spreads.
Points Props
Evidently, DraftKings felt particularly ambitious with a number of their point prop bets because I think there's a handful of 'unders' that make sense. I hate to target a guy that has done so well for us as of late, but taking the under on Malcolm Brogdon's 22.5 points (-115) sure feels like easy money when you consider the Mavs allow the third-fewest points to PGs in the NBA. The 28-year-old has also been under that figure in three of the last five games and both of those 'overs' were against teams who are miserable defensively.
- As the Official Daily Fantasy Partner of the NFL, DraftKings is the best place for all of your fantasy football action.
- Saturday features a solid 11-game NBA slate, including a nine-game main slate starting at 7 p.m. Let’s dive into some of my favorite wagers on DraftKings Sportsbook for Saturday’s NBA.
- DraftKings, the daily-fantasy giant that made a fairly seamless transition into an online sportsbook a few years ago when the legal landscape changed in the United States, was.
I also like the under on Josh Okogie's 7.5 points (+104), mainly because the odds are so nice. Either due to his hamstring injury or just overall ineffectiveness, Okogie has averaged just 23 minutes and 4.3 points over his last three starts and the Magic also tend to play well against SFs, allowing the seventh-fewest points to the position. Don't toss it into a parlay, but if you're looking at plus-money props, that one feels like the easiest target.
View NBA odds and bet online legally, securely, and easily on NBA games all season.
If you do want to find a parlay filler, look no further than under 8.5 points for Tristan Thompson's (-134) point total. Especially with Joel Embiid playing at his All-NBA level this year, I just don't see a way in which Thompson gets close to that total, particularly when he's playing around 21 minutes on average over the last four games.
Perhaps my favorite bet of the day is actually an over pertaining to D'Angelo Russell's 23.5 points (-125). Generally speaking, I tend to stay away from large points figures from stars just because there's more volatility game-to-game, but in this case, I really don't see a way in which the 218.5 O/U comes into play unless Russell goes off. Thankfully, the Magic allow the third-most points to PGs across the league and no Karl Anthony-Towns (COVID-19) just puts more of the offensive onus on the 2015 No. 2 overall pick.
Rebounds/Assists Props
To be honest, there weren't any 'noticeable' rebounds/assists prop bets that jumped out, so I wanted to hammer home a few points/assists/rebounds (PRA for short) props that make sense instead.
I don't know when DraftKings will get it right with Jerami Grant's totals, but it certainly isn't Wednesday. We've been able to target the overs plenty of times and while I think the sportsbook has finally gotten close to an appropriate point total (o/u 22.5), there's plenty of room for the 30.5 PRA over to hit (-125). Grant has hit that over in five of the last six games and to help matters more, the Hawks are top-10 in terms of rebounds allowed to small forwards.
There's a bit of a sweet spot we've developed over the last couple of weeks targeting the over on small forwards who play a lot of minutes and find themselves in favorable situations. OG Anunoby, Jerami Grant, De'Andre Hunter, and now....Mikal Bridges. There's nothing wrong with taking Bridges 13.5 point over for plus money (+104), but I think the rebounds makes his PRA over (19.5, -114) a pretty easy mark to hit.
If I felt a bit better about Patrick Beverley's minutes I'd make the 16.5 PRA over (-110) one of the easiest locks of the night, but as it stands I still think it's worth mentioning. The Kings are dreadful against opposing PGs allowing the most points and second-most assists throughout the season and even if Beverly were to play close to his season average in minutes (26.4), I think this bet has the chance of hitting. No Lou Williams (hip) would likely bump that total even higher basically all but assuring the over.
Best Bets
- Josh Okogie under 7.5 points (+104)
- Tristan Thompson under 8.5 points/Nets win (+108)
- Mikal Bridges over 19.5 points/rebounds/assists (-114)
- D'Angelo Russell over 23.5 points (-125)
This article is part of our DraftKings Sportsbook series.
We were overdue for a bit of a letdown after such a strong previous week as all four of the best bets cratered thanks in large part to Collin Sexton breathing literal fire against the Nets. Saturday's slate is a bit more mundane with just seven games expected to take place and as of this writing, just five have prop bets set due to various injuries. As a result, I won't try to be as picky when discussing a handful of bets.
Points Props
We'll start right away with what feels like a lock in regards to the over for Steven Adams' 10.5 points (-125). The Timberwolves allow the most points to centers by a considerable margin, but perhaps more importantly Adams did score double-digit points for seven consecutive games before running into a tough gauntlet against the Lakers and Jazz, respectively. You could just skip this step and go right to taking Adams to hit a double-double (+150) since the big man is so adept at corralling rebounds, but Minnesota has allowed a starting center to get double-digit rebounds just three times this year so it's admittedly more of a long shot.
Draftkings Sportsbook Sign Up
Look, we've had a bad stretch when it comes to betting on players hitting 3-pointers, but I'm willing to go back to the well when considering the over on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's 9.5 points (-110). On the very slim chance LeBron James (ankle) and Anthony Davis (ankle) do not play you've essentially guaranteed something like a lock, but I still think with the way the Bulls play defense (fifth-most 3-point attempts given up to opposing SGs) KCP should be firing on all cylinders. He's also gone over that mark in four of the last five games which makes me feel even more confident in the over.
Draftkings Sportsbook Log In
Finally, sticking in the same game I'm also interested in taking over 15.5 points (-125) for forward Lauri Markkanen. Yes, Davis is going to present a difficult matchup for the young forward and yes, Zach LaVine has been insanely dominant as of late, but I still think Markkanen is too involved in the offense not to hit this low of a bar. The 23-year-old is averaging 13.3 shots per game and has crossed the 15.5-point threshold in each of his last four games since returning from a COVID-19-related absence.
Rebounds/Assists
I truthfully don't know why DraftKings decided to list Zach LaVine's o/u 4.5 assists, but consider the over (-139) your parlay builder. In six of LaVine's last seven games, the 25-year-old has tallied six or more assists and with the Lakers likely applying a greater emphasis on stopping the guard from attacking the paint like he last time around in their matchup earlier this month (38 points on 15 attempts from inside the arc), I think there will be opportunities for a plethora of knock-down shots. Putting the over with any of the heavy favorites to win (I'm personally looking at the 76ers over the Pistons) should give you plus money without needing to sweat much.
We had this with Josh Okogie on Wednesday so just be mindful if the number gets bet down significantly lower, but at the moment I think the odds on Donovan Mitchell getting more than 4.5 rebounds (+105) feel relatively worth the gamble. The Warriors allow the sixth-most rebounds to SGs, Mitchell has back-to-back games with seven boards and the expected extreme pace all sorta line up as a decent bet for plus money. I'd much rather take the listed parlay below if you're interested in that sort of thing, but it's an intriguing figure regardless.
Best Bets
- Lauri Markkanen over 15.5 points (-125)
- Steven Adams over 10.5 points (-125)
- Zach LaVine over 4.5 assists/76ers win (+136)